Friday, August 22, 2003

This Doesn't Count - Next week, we'll be talking about:
  • Alpha Boys
  • A death penalty case that's kinda interesting
  • My first attempt at a fan site
  • Mike Hatch
  • Urban Conservatism. Really.
OK. Now I'm off for the weekend.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/22/2003 12:30:11 PM

How The Other Half Lives - How nice must it be to be an Andrew Sullivan. He holds a fund drive, and rakes in $80,000 twice a year. Then, he takes off the entire month of August. And when he comes back in September, he'll still be getting a hundred thousand visitors a day, and he'll STILL earn a living from the site, and he'll still one of the Big Four Blogs ( Instapundit, Mickey Kaus, and The Volokh Conspiracy along with Sullivan).

At this time last year, Shot In The Dark was averaging about 20 visitors a day, mostly friends, relatives, and a few politics junkies drawn by my constant, shameless cross-promotion on the E-Democracy MN-POLITICS mailing list. During the run-up to the election, it rose to between 30-50 a day.

Then Instapundit linked my fisks of Garrison Keillor and attacks on the MN DFL's culture of hate, giving my humble little blog a couple of 10,000 visitor days. Through the winter I averaged 250 visitors a day - which boggled my mind. It only got better - I currently average around 800 visitors a day, with occasional spikes when the likes of Reynolds or Lileks or Powerline link me.

By the way - yesterday was a fun milestone for this blog. It was the first time Instapundit linked me without my sending him an email saying in effect "HEY, CHECK OUT WHAT I'M WRITING ABOUT TODAY! PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE!" (although the Professor has been gratifyingly and flatteringly amenable to my writing in the past year or so). So in the midst of this very difficult year, it's fun to see something going right.

And while my donations link doesn't pay the mortgage, it covers my hosting (and, some months, a bit more), which is not only a relief, it's flattering. Thank you all.

But because of that, it's very, very hard to settle for any time off. Something - my ego, maybe - thinks it'd be a personal setback if I took a week off and came back to 30 readers a day, again. I got here (whereever "Here" is) by writing. A lot. It's been fun - my morning ritual involves getting up at 5:30AM, rounding up the usual suspects (when all else fails, Doug Grow and Laura Billings are bottomless sources of fodder) and dashing off a couple of posts. But it's also work, trying to keep enough quality (hahahaha) material coming to keep you all coming back. There are times I truly envy some of the Twin Cities' excellent group bloggers, like Powerline and Fraters Libertas, with a deep stable of excellent writers (to say nothing of people like Lileks or Reynolds or Sullivan, who are just plain good enough to do this all. The. Time).

This screed has no point, other than to say I'll be taking the weekend off. REALLY off! Not in the "Yeah, Mitch, you say that every week, and then Saturday night you post five column-feet on something or another". I mean, I'll see you Monday.

I am, however, going to try to see Lileks at the fair tonight. So if you're around, say "hi". How will we meet each other? Simple; just stand in front of the "Patriot" booth and yell "BLOG! BLOG! BLOGGIE BLOG BLOG BLOG!" at the top of your lungs. I'll find you.

Til Monday, thanks for reading. I truly, genuinely appreciate it.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/22/2003 12:20:53 PM

Not Just For Sandbags Anymore - Pioneer Press columnist Nick Coleman has noticed that sometimes the National Guard has to be soldiers:
"The Minnesota National Guard is seeing a lot of action these days. Maybe too much. Instead of sandbags, the unspoken undercurrent, in wartime, is about body bags.

I always drop by the National Guard booth at the Fair in the hopes of seeing an old friend or just to take the pulse of things. I've developed a lot of appreciation for the Guard over the years from watching it work through flood or tornado. But the National Guard is being asked to do a lot more than help out in the Red River Valley or St. Peter. More than at any time in the last 50 years, members of the National Guard are under fire."
Perhaps over those fifty years Mr. Coleman never noticed this, but It's A Military Force! The National Guard is Part Of the US Army and Air Force! They exist to Go Places And Kill People when called upon!

With nearly a quarter of the Minnesota Army and Air Guards either overseas or on deck for deployment, Coleman does note a key problem:
Almost 1,100 Minnesota Guard soldiers are en route to Bosnia, where they will take over the lead role in peacekeeping efforts. Another 500 are on their way to Europe to beef up security at U.S. air bases, and 1,000 more will head to Kosovo this fall. Add smaller deployments to Afghanistan and the Persian Gulf (almost 200 are in Iraq and Kuwait) and you will have a quarter of the Minnesota Guard — 3,000 men and women — overseas. For some members of the Air Guard's 133rd Airlift Wing who are being redeployed to the Persian Gulf, it will be their third overseas assignment in less than two years.

Although morale is strong in general, it has begun to suffer in the 133rd Airlift Wing.

"I don't think their morale is very good right now, and mine wouldn't be, either," says Col. Denny Shields of the Minnesota Guard. "Frankly, we're concerned. Because when you keep going to the well, more and more you get midterm people — people who have 10 or 12 years' experience — who might end up pulling the plug. That's a lot of experience to waste, and we really hope it won't happen."
It's a fair point; Guard and Air Guard units that have much needed skills - like the 507th Chemical Recon Company from Fergus Falls, or the 133rd Airlift Wing - are going to find themselves on tap for a lot of duty time. The military relies especially hard on them for their technical skills, the sorts of things where the Guard's long-term part-timers with ample civilian-world experience are invaluable.

But Coleman concludes:
High school kids thinking about joining the Guard are weighing the college aid they would receive against the chance they'd be called to fight and die for their country.

It ain't just about filling sandbags anymore.
In my hometown, the National Guard company had fought in the Spanish American War, WWI, WWII (Guadalcanal, New Guinea, the Philippines, and a solid year of occupation duty in Japan) and Korea. I don't know that many of us contemplating a hitch in the Guard had any illusions about spending a career filling sandbags.

Are kids today any dumber?

After 9/11, I doubt it.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/22/2003 10:50:25 AM

State Fair - I live in the Midway, so the State Fair usually means snarled traffic (although as a resident, I know all the shortcuts that the madding mass of fairgoers don't) and endless lines of tired or drunk people at the gas station on Snelling.

And the concerts, with few exceptions, have been nothing to write home about. But I've always loved the Bandshell shows. I've seen a lot of people there, including a very young Alison Krauss and a hyperkinetic Doug Kershaw.

This year has its moments:
"Suzy Bogguss, who's leaning toward jazz these days, will also try to make up for the surprising paucity of country by holding forth from the Bandshell on Saturday and Sunday.
Bogguss was one of the higher points of working in country radio in the early nineties; a genuinely talented singer who visibly strained to break free of Music Row "Generic Female Country Product" ghetto. Worth a listen.

And next week?
Other headliners include pop-rockers of disparate resumes, rookie Franky Perez (next Friday and Aug. 30) and ageless Midwestern roadhouser Johnny Holm (Aug. 31 and Sept. 1).
"Ageless roadhouser" - that's one way of describing Holm, the midwest's answer to Sha Na Na (not to take anything away from Holm, a great showman).

I've already raved about Perez in this space. His CD is solid, with a little bit of filler - but he's the best live performer I've seen in years. I'll be there.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/22/2003 10:34:06 AM

He Who Owns the Press - Good news from the FCC, as Michael Powell appears to be leaning toward approving low-power FM radio licensing.

The licensing - which would allow FM stations with a range of around 3 miles - would open up non-commercial broadcasting for community groups. This was the norm until FCC rule changes (pushed by NPR and the National Association of Broadcasters) changed the rules in the late seventies. It's significant that the "community" radio stations currently active - including KFAI and KMOJ in the Twin Cities - were all started before 1978.

According to Reuters:
Additionally, Powell wants to accelerate the licensing to get more low-power FM radio stations on the air. Low-power FM was launched a few years ago to provide non-commercial programming to audiences in a radius of 3.5 miles.
Good idea or bad? Glenn Reynolds (on whose site I found the story this morning) likes it.
As James Plummer wrote here a while back, ending the suppression of microradio is a better way of promoting diversity than more regulation. If Powell really believes in broadcast diversity, then now that the bogus interference concerns raised by NPR and the National Association of Broadcasters have turned out to be, well, bogus, he should endorse the growth of low-power FM stations.
Who opposes the idea?

The National Association of Broadcasters and National "Public" Radio.

(Via Instapundit)

posted by Mitch Berg 8/22/2003 09:58:29 AM

Thursday, August 21, 2003

Dirty Harvey? - Fraters brings us the story of Hennepin County judge Harvey Ginsburg, who took the law into his own hands (allegedly) when he caught some boys who'd allegedgly stolen his son's bike:
One teenager told the officer that Ginsberg asked which one of them had stolen the bike and then slapped both of them in the face.

The first boy, who admitted taking the bike and hiding it behind the drugstore as a joke, said he rode away on his bike because he didn't want to get hit.

The judge grabbed the other boy off his bike, threw him onto a wooden bench, held him by the throat and threatened, "If you mess with my family again you will be dead," the complaint said.

That boy was able to free himself and told Ginsberg he was going to call police. Then Ginsberg said: "Go ahead, I'm a judge and I'll have you charged with a felony for temporary theft."

But the money quote, from Fraters' Elder:
Bike thieves in St. Louis Park be warned. Judge Harvey Ginsberg is on the case. And he's not afraid to open a can of pat ass either.
Torn. Sooooo torn.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/21/2003 12:14:20 PM

Will the Real Arianna Please Stand Up? - Susan Estrich on the depths of Huffington's opportunism - which is now affecting her family:
"On the day she announced her candidacy at 'A Place Called Home,' in South Central Los Angeles, her children moved out of hers in Brentwood and into their father's. 'Our oldest daughter has been devastated by it,' her dad said.

'A Place Called Home,' according to its Web site, was created to give inner-city kids somewhere to go after school to do their homework, watch TV, play with their friends and 'be with people that care about them -- basic rights that all kids should have.' That's what most kids get from their mothers...

Huffington has no chance of winning. Never did. The only reason to run was her ego, self-aggrandizement, attention -- at the expense of her kids.

She is running on a platform she didn't even believe in a few years ago. Nor is it one she lives by.

How could she do that to her children? my own children ask.

In Huffington's case, of course, it may be a bit more complicated than that, financially speaking, since it's slightly more difficult to live off your children's child support when your children aren't living with you. But don't bet against her. This is, after all, the woman who runs against oil interests and lives in a mansion financed by oil money, rails against pigs at the trough and pays no taxes, runs as an independent and supports a guru. She's even got a documentary crew following her for the campaign. I wonder if they filmed the children moving out."
Michael Medved took her tax record (she pays none) sternly to task earlier this week; she's a poster child for the need for a consumption, rather than an income, tax.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/21/2003 12:09:26 PM

Daschle and the Media - South Dakota's major newspaper, the Sioux Falls Argus Leader, has been in bed with Tom Daschle throughout his career.

Talon News - a web site which has been working the story - takes it from here:
After two weeks of stonewalling, Randell Beck, Executive Editor of South Dakota's largest newspaper, the Argus Leader, finally acknowledged the relationship of its political reporter to Sen. Tom Daschle (D-SD). Wednesday's admission of David Kranz's 35-year friendship with the Senate Minority Leader came during a Sioux Falls radio talk show hosted by Greg Belfrage on station KELO AM.

Kranz and the Argus Leader have been at the center of a controversy that began when potential Senate candidate Neal Tapio revealed the ties in a press release. Tapio implied that the newspaper's reporting has been excessively favorable to Daschle and the Democrats and unusually harsh to their critics and Republican candidates. The New York Times and Washington-based Roll Call criticized the Argus Leader's biased reporting in the 1990 South Dakota senate race.
In addition to the obvious media bias angle, the story includes hints of the new media/old media conflict; Talon News doesn't get any respect from South Dakota's elite news organizations:
KELO's Belfrage declined Talon News request for a representative to appear on the program. He wrote, "Midcontinent Radio considers this to be a dispute between Talon News and the Argus Leader." A call to KELO's General Manager Mike Costanzo with the same request was not returned.
Full Disclosure: I used to work for a Midcontinental affiliate. They were the most half-assed media company I ever encountered.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/21/2003 09:21:25 AM

Janklow - South Dakota Politics has coverage on the accident involving Rep. (and former Governor) Bill Janklow and Minnesotan Randolph Scott. Janklow allegedly ran a stop sign and hit motorcyclist Scott, killing him.

South Dakota Politics is an excellent blog that's been getting heaped with attention. That's no surprise. The surprise, to me, is that the blog is written by a law student. Growing up in North Dakota, I had no idea that South Dakota even had a law school.

(Via Powerline)

posted by Mitch Berg 8/21/2003 09:13:12 AM

Davis Toast, Arnold the Most - According to the Today show, 59% of Californians favor the recall, and Ahnold is leading by five points.
posted by Mitch Berg 8/21/2003 09:06:12 AM

Kids TV - This is the first summer in memory the kids have had TV.

I'm only exaggerating a little. Two years ago, our TV broke just about the time school let out. At least, that's what I told the kids. There was nothing wrong with it, of course - I just wanted to see what would happen if they went a few weeks without TV. The experiment lasted all summer. The results were astounding; when school let out, my son was reading at a second-grade level (which was fine, since he was in second grade). The next fall, he tested at a fifth-grade level. Or forget about the assessments (which are frequently bogus) if you'd like; he cordially hated reading in May, and he audibly loved it in September.

Last year, the TV actually did break right about the time school let out. I didn't bother replacing it until the fall. No problems - the kids never really even asked me to fix it.

This year, since I'm home full time, I left the TV alone. Yep, I'm that awful parent who uses the TV to babysit, when nothing else jumps to mind. Mea Culpa.

No, I keep it to a relative minimum. But I've heard a lot of what passes for kids' TV this summer (heard, not seen; I usually hear it in the background while I'm working, cooking, or whatever. The biggest impression for me, by the way, is the theme songs. Oh, lordy, the theme songs.

The shocking part isn't that so much of it is as bad as it is. The real shock is that so much of it isn't horrible.

A partial list:
  • Rocket Power (Nickelodeon) - When "Rug Rats" came out all those long years ago, I (and lots of parents) waffled back and forth; is this cartoon fairly decent, or is it irritatingly awful? "Rocket Power" - which seems to be about a bunch of adolescent Rug Rats on skateboards - shows that it could have been either, or both; its hamfisted animation manages to make stunt skateboarding look dull, and its hammer-to-the-forehead dull storylines make Rug Rats' cutesy baby tales seem pretty good in retrospect. The theme song - faux surfer punk that combines the Offspring's sound with the pure irritation of Dexter Holland's voice, with none of Holland's wry humor, is a harbinger of tedium. D-
  • The Amanda Show (Nickelodeon> - Amanda Bynes is to Hillary Duff what the Dave Clark Five were to the Beatles; why buy one when you can have the other? The funny part - most of the kids watching it are completely unaware of the irony of the show's format (a "variety" show, with music, a monologue, and endless, groaningly repetitive skits - like a grammar school Carol Burnett). Bynes can act - she was just fine in the surprisingly good Big Fat Liar with Frankie Muniz and Bart Giamatti. But the show is so dull, even my kids tune it out. Unfortunately, they don't do it in time to tune out the show's wretched theme song - "Amandamandamandamanda, AmandamandamandamanDA, Amandamandamandamandamanmanmanda shoooooooooow", which could be used to wrench testimony from the most dedicated mafioso. D+.
  • Ed, Edd and Eddie (Cartoon Network) - Easily the worst cartoon ever made. The show seems to be about three kids named Ed - a retarded one (done with the most grating voiceover in the history of psychological warfare), a nerd and a criminal. They try to scam their friends...oh, who cares? I'm not sure which is worse - the fact that the animation actually, physically induces a headache, or that there was obviously some intelligence spent (misspent) on this show; it's clear that there is some sort of writing and animation talent in the crew behind the show. It's just all gone terribly, terribly wrong. I cordially hate this show, and have taken to turning it off immediately. Ironically, the theme song - which sounds like it was lifted from a faux big-band, perhaps the Squirrel Nut Zippers - is one of the best of the bunch. It doesnt' save it from its grade, G- (I needed a grade worse than F).
  • Lizzie McGuire (Disney) - Surprisingly un-awful. PC, of course, but not relentlessly so. Clever. The parents are portrayed as relentlessly dim, but that's to be expected (especially on Disney, which seems to have declared war on parental respect). Hillary Duff has a future - not that you'd know from the dismal "Lizzie McGuire Movie" (oh, the kids programming I've had to sit through...). The theme song - a not-entirely-unpleasant bit of powerpop treacle - would make a better single than any of Duff's upcoming onslaught of songs. B-.
  • Sister, Sister (Disney) - On SNL in the mid-nineties, there was a spoof Afro-American game show starring Chris Rock. First prize was something fairly innocuous. Second prize? "Your own series on the WB!". The only reason I remember this was that the skit flashed a little graphic showing a bunch of circa-1995 WB shows, including one showing...Sister Sister. Well, Disney has exhumed this one (as they did "Boy Meets World", of which more later). That it shows everything that's wrong with the WB is obvious; the relentless pandering to the lowest common denominator among the Afro-American audience has to be insulting. The worst part, though? No, not the awful and unappealing Mowry twins. Not even the atrocious Jackee, who has to be the Amos and Andy of the 1990s. No, it's the fact that it stars Tim Reid. Reid is a wonderful actor (He was Venus Flytrap on WKRP, and he starred in the wonderful, underappreciated Frank's Place in the late eighties), writer and producer; that he's had to sink to this to earn a living is a tragedy. The theme song - a dismal piece of pseudo hip hop - signals drear. D
  • That's So Raven (Disney) - Not as bad as I'd expected. Theme song is dismal fake-hop, and the show is pretty predictable. But it's one of few shows that still do old-fashioned, Lucille-Ball-style pratfalls 'n slapstick, and does it fairly well. C.
  • Boy Meets World - Another show rescued from the networks, BMW (which ran a total of seven years, but is still unescapable in reruns) is relentlessly earnest, occasionally very well-written, and featured the crusty William Daniels playing a crusty teacher. Theme song? Good question. The show had at least three, all of them variations on one power-pop theme or another. C+
  • Even Stevens (Disney) - Too good for kids. Sends up most of the PC cliches of kids programming with a nudge and a wink. The scheming little brother Louis (Shia LaBoeuf, whose unforgivable name is balanced by some talent - he starred in the excellent adaptation of Holes) is very clever, and the older sister Ren (Christy Romano) is the best pseudo-conservative teenager since Alex Keaton; she's a fine role model indeed. The music is often relentlessly clever, the writing is sharp, the parents are played less as morons than like true founts of comic wierdness. The show is a pleasantly twisted treat. The theme song is fairly generic, but very identifiable, fake rockabilly. A
I'm not sure which is worse - the fact that I could actually write a column about kids' TV, or that I'm sitting here wondering which shows I've missed...

posted by Mitch Berg 8/21/2003 08:56:58 AM

Wednesday, August 20, 2003

Citizens for Disarmed Victims - The "Repeal Concealed Carry" "movement" is taking one mighty swing at relevance.

They'll be staffing a booth at the State Fair this year. I plan on stopping by and going through their literature, point by point. By point.

Hmmm.

Attacking the "information" on the Citizens for a Supine Safer Minnesota website is sort of like clubbing baby harp seals. Here's a bit from their site:
CONCEAL AND CARRY DIDN'T PROTECT HIM

New York City Councilmember James Davis, who was shot and killed inside City Council Chambers on July 23, 2003 was a former police officer and was armed at the time of the attack. He and the shooter, Othniel Askey, bypassed the metal detector located at the building entrance. The shooting occured at one of the most heavily protected sites in the city. Mayor Michael Bloomberg now requires everyone, including city council members, to pass through the metal detectors.

Ironically, Mr. Davis was killed just as he was about to introduce a resolution to prevent workplace violence.
So according to Citizens for a Supine Safer Minnesota - if granting permits to the law-abiding citizen doesn't instantly end all crime and prevent every wackjob from commtting every crime of passion or insanity, then Concealed Carry is worthless?

Also note: you can pelt opponents of Shall Issue with dozens of real-life cases of people deterring crimes, with or without shootings, and it won't matter to them; let one NYC cop get shot by a wackjob (never mentioned in the excerpt in the CSM website) and suddenly the threshold of proof drops to one case.

You can smell the desperation.

The tide continues to swing against them, by the way. The one defeat that "Shall Issue" laws have suffered in recent years - its rejection in Missouri in 2000, followed by a veto of a bill in the Legislature - may soon be reversed:
The Missouri legislature is poised to soon override the veto of Gov. Bob Holden, a Democrat, and validate a bill passed this spring allowing the right to carry concealed weapons.
Colorado will also join the ranks of shall-issue states before long, while the Wisconsin Supreme Court recently overturned a ban on concealed weapons of any type - which may lead to a shall-issue effort in the coming session.

Clearly, the national trend is very much against the Repeal gang.

By the way, it's funny to notice that the Repeal Concealed Carry NOW! website hasn't been updated since sometime in May.

That's dedication.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/20/2003 10:35:22 AM

Shopping List - My pal Flash from down the street (not his real name) has been hearing my endless list of things I want/need to get when I finally get a job above subsistence level. He said I should put it on my blog - so he wouldn't have to hear it anymore.

Fair enough! So without further ado, Mitch's Post-Unemployment Shopping List:
  1. 15 gallons of paint- due to dreadful planning last fall, I finished scraping and priming the house, just in time for the weather to get too cold to paint. Naturally, I planned to finish the job in the spring. No job, no paint. Gotta finish it - my house is an eyesore on my street.
  2. A Bunch of Lumber - I need to build new beds for my daughter and I, not to mention kitchen shelves and a decent bookshelf in my bedroom.
  3. Major Overhauls - for my pickup truck and my computer.
  4. Presents - Both of my kids have had birthdays since I've been on the beach. Both have gotten very simple birthday parties, with not a whole lot of presents. Not bad, really, in the great world scheme of things - but I'd like to throw them a slightly bigger to-do.
  5. Kitchen Stuff - my kitchen is a disaster. Not in the sense women think of "disaster" (the china clashes with the wallpaper) or in the "Queer Eye..." sense of the term (the pots are so 1998). No, I mean in the "avalanche wipes out Austrian Village" sense of the term disaster.
  6. A TV bigger than my Toaster - I don't watch a lot of TV. I surely don't like my kids watching much. But my TV is about the size of a security camera monitor. Not that that's a biggie, but for the rare occasions when I actually do want to watch something...
  7. Windows - My house is about 118 years old. Most of the windows are, if not original equipment, at least dating to before WWII. I'm tired of heating the neighborhood.
  8. DVDs - I haven't had a working VCR in years. I always hated videocassettes - big, delicate, subject to degeneration. I bought a cheap DVD player for Christmas, and was converted instantly - just in time to have my entertainment budget drop to near-zero.
  9. New Camera, preferably Digital - I need one, badly. I've been way too remiss in taking kid pictures - sorta the anti-Lileks. I need to fix that, and I need to do it now.
That should cover it.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/20/2003 10:30:22 AM

Forget Arnold? - Longtime reader PZ writes:
Also there’s another conservative in the CA governor’s race who isn’t getting much press, but I thought you might want to check out her website if for no other reason then to add her name to the ever-growing pantheon of Conservative Babes
Excellent point, P. Although some of her stuff is hardly hard-core conservatism - check the Issues page.

But PZ is right on both counts; she's more conservative than Arnold, and a definite candidate for inclusion in the Pantheon.

Whenever I build it.

Hmmmmmm.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/20/2003 09:28:22 AM

Northern Alliance Trivia Slapdown?- Fraters see themselves as trivia buffs.

I may have to try this Keegan's place.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/20/2003 08:59:09 AM

Kids In America - I wouldn't say that my college was "conservative". Far from it - most of the faculty was as solidly left-wing as anyone at MacAlester. But most of the students - the children of farm kids and small-town businessmen and teachers, with a smattering of kids from the Twin Cities and Chicago who were there because they couldn't get a scholarship at a Division I school - were apolitical. Neither the College Republicans nor their Democrat counterparts ever really drew a crowd; most students were working too hard to bother. My major adviser - who'd gone to Rutgers, NYU and Marquette - expressed amazement at the school and its students; "12 credits here is as hard as 16 credits anywhere I've ever taught", he said.

He was also one of very few conservative English professors you'll ever meet ("I consider myself a monarchist", he joked). He lent me a copy of "Modern Times" by Paul Johnson, and had me dig hard into the political critiques woven into "Crime and Punishment", and he started me on my path away from the liberalism I inherited from my parents to the conservatism I got from Reagan.

"Whatever", said my dorm mates, who were cramming for a chemistry exam.

I knew, of course, that there were other colleges out there. I was the editor of the college paper, and I got a weekly package of canned copy from the Collegiate Press Service - stuff that was skewed far enough to the left to make the BBC blanche. And when I finally moved to the Twin Cities, I met college kids that not only had time and energy to focus on things like politics - it was their major. It was why they'd gone to school in the first place. Places like the U, Mac, Hamline and St. Kates were breeding grounds for young DFLers (or Greens).

Fast forward twenty years.

The SCSU Scholars have an interesting piece on the rightward drift on campus today.

They link to a fascinating piece on Economist.com, which notes the statistics:
Bob Dole lost the 18-29-year-old vote by 19 percentage points; Mr Bush lost by two points. Students have been sceptical about bossy governments for years. Now they are increasingly sceptical about the “Ab Fab” values of the 1960s generation—particularly in regard to casual sex and abortion—and increasingly enthusiastic about America's use of military might. A poll by Harvard University's Institute of Politics in April found that three-quarters of students trusted the armed forces “to do the right thing” either all or most of the time. In 1975 the figure was about 20%. Another poll, by the University of California at Los Angeles, found that 45% of freshmen supported an increase in military spending, more than double the figure in 1992.
The article also delves into the why - students' natural sense of rebellion, of course (and what is the campus left but the status quo?) - but something more; a desire to have a nation worth going on to lead:
Another reason is September 11th, which not only produced a surge of patriotism but also widened the gap between students (who tended to see the attacks as examples of evil) and Vietnam-era professors (who agonised about what America must have done wrong). The Harvard Institute of Politics found two-thirds of students supporting the war in Iraq. Pro-war groups sprouted in such liberal campuses as Brandeis, Yale and Columbia. At Amherst College many students were noisily furious when 40 teachers paraded into the dining hall with anti-war slogans.
The Economist also struck on a parallel that I find fascinating, one I've been flailing about to try to find for months. It makes sense:
They needed troops on the ground. In 2002 College Republicans (together with gun activists) played the same sort of role in the party that trade unionists and blacks have long played in the Democratic Party.
King Banian of the Scholars notes:
Combine this with 9/11 and the fact that Republicans right now are doing a good job of recruiting youth to their programs like College Republicans or YAF, add an enthusiastic leadership from people like the CRs' Scott Stewart, and the groundswell, argues The Economist, turns into a youthquake.
Of course, like all youthquakes, it can change with the turn of a generation and its influences. That's what got us here in the first place.

But consider the possibilities: We have a generation that is edging to the right, coming up through the system. In 20 years, when they move into positions of leadership in academia, business, the media, we could be in position for a major change in the outlooks of American institutions.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/20/2003 08:09:39 AM

Terror - Little Green Footballs covers the left brain.

Lileks covers the right.

Mindless, pointless speculation: I'll bet anything that the old political prohibition about cooperating with Israel, lest the "Arab Street" rebel en masse, is now as cold and dead as Color Me Badd's career. Under the table, of course; but I'll bet anything that the links between the US and Israel's anti-terrorism efforts are going to extend far beyond the traditional, pro forma exchanges of intelligence.

I have nothing to back that up. But ask yourself, what is there to lose? The only "Arab Street" that's mattered in the past two years is the one in Dearborn, Michigan, where Arabs protested in favor of the intervention. And yes, I know I'm being glib - the street in Karachi was pretty angry, and hopped up and down burning flags for days...

...and in the end, confirmed that in any real sense the feared "Arab Street" is a toothless tiger.

Yes, a lot of Arabs will get boundlessly irate if it comes out that we've cooperated with Israel. What of it? The ones that truly matter are already in the crosshairs; the Saudis may be starting to realize they have to fish or cut bait. The Iranians (yeah, I know they're not Arabs) keenly know they could be next on the agenda.

The clinker in the mix? Pakistan (also not Arab). They have a huge Moslem fundie population that has chosen sides. They have a large, accomplished intelligence service that has actively supported Al Quaeda and the Taliban. They have the bomb.

But they also have an interest in controlling all of those; they've done this so far.

It's all just wind in sails, of course. But I'll bet that when the history of this thing is written, there'll be a chapter on Israel's sub rosa cooperation with the US.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/20/2003 07:34:00 AM

Tuesday, August 19, 2003

Another Tricky Day - I know I've written this post before. I may write it again.

This is the part of the job hunt that I hate the most. Waiting to hear if I made it to the final round of interviews.

It's not the rejection that kills me; if I have one leg up on much of the job-seeking public, it's that I started in radio when I was 16. I got fired from my first radio job when I was 17 (I've never been fired for cause in my life), and of the stations I worked at, I think I only quit a job one time under my own power (two of them closed on me, and the rest were all mass-firings after management changes). Rejection, I can handle. I have scar tissue a foot thick.

Nah. It's the waiting for news that kills me. I still haven't heard from the company I interviewed with on Thursday, which puts things on the border between "they're still making up their minds" and "this isn't going well".

Worse, companies today have taken on a very rude attitude toward job seekers. Rejection letters are very rare - resumes usually go into the void, never to be heard from again (I've sent over 300 in the last seven months). Which may be normal enough in these times, but the worst part is that companies frequently will leave interviewees hanging for weeks or longer after they've made a decision, without a letter or phone call.

It's not all bad; another job lead popped up yesterday, and I think I have another little job locked in for next month. But again, I'm waiting for confirmation.

And waiting.

And waiting is bad enough. Waiting in a pool of sweat, writing away at a computer that gets very balky in this humidity, is worse.

Gaaah. It can only get better, right?

posted by Mitch Berg 8/19/2003 10:55:50 AM

Nub of the Gist - DJ Tice has a great column on the reasons underlying the media circus that scuppered the Pentagon's 'Terror market" last month. The market - which would have used market methods to assign a market value to different theories about future terrorist activities - was hardly a new idea.

But not only did many opponents of the "Terror Market" not have any time for new ideas - they don't like the "P" word:
:The short, unhappy life of the Pentagon's "terrorism futures market" was wonderfully instructive. It illuminated, through exaggeration, the point at which communication breaks down between two groups: those eager to unleash every power of economic markets, and those who recoil from the cold amorality of the profit motive.
I had many acquaintances who recoiled in horror at the idea - and with whom, as Tice says, communication was impossible:
  • People who thought that it was "sick" to "tie human lives" to something as ""crass" as markets, and
  • people who have great misplaced faith in the status quo of the current intelligence process (and in the media's willingness or ability to explain this idea, for that matter)
Tice continues:
Such "aggregation of information" is the magic all markets do. Stanford Professor George Parker speaks of a creature he calls "Mr. Market" — the collective mind of scores of millions of investors who trade in stocks and other investments. Mr. Market, Parker says, knows everything, reads everything, hears every rumor and checks them all out. And every day Mr. Market blends all that information together to estimate the value of investments
This, of course, incited a storm of misplaced moralism:
And yet, of course, it was impossible. The reason it was impossible is an extreme example of the cold, moral "realism" of market economics that causes many people to dislike capitalism — to the endless frustration of champions who focus on its good results.
But there's something the naysayers miss - and always miss - about capitalism: While its methods may be divorced from any direct moral imperative, its results are inherently moral anyway:
Adam Smith's famous "invisible hand" causes a manufacturer, say, to make quality products, not necessarily out of pride or concern for customers, but because quality products sell quicker at higher prices.

By making each person's profit depend on pleasing others, the market spins the abundant straw of avarice into the gold of the common good.

It's the same with markets. Every time an investor buys or sells an investment (causing its price to rise or fall), he or she is sharing information with others — not out of generosity, but to make money. Nonetheless, the information gets shared.

Similarly, a terrorism market would inspire people to do out of a selfish desire for gain what they should have done out of moral decency — to tell what they know.
Tice hits the main point:
And of course that's just the problem. The motives of terrorism "investors" would be simply too barbarous to be tolerated, and too repulsive to be used, even for the best of purposes. No result, however beneficial, is worth the moral debasement involved in rewarding such motives — or at least that's what the politicians quickly decided.

In a much less inflamed way, different levels of tolerance for the reality of human selfishness determines how a person responds to the whole of free market economics.

Some people find it fairly easy to accept that human beings are self-interested. They think it a marvel (almost a miracle) that markets can convert self-seeking into unintentional generosity. Such people care about results more than motives.
Tice concludes by noting that, for most people, there comes a point on almost any issue where motives become more important than results.

But here's the problem; the motives were consistently mis-reported by the media and the opinion-shaping classes. There was lavish coverage of those who were indignant - "we're going to have fatcats profiting, profiting I tell you, over the deaths of innocent people!" - and almost no reporting (certainly no competent, detailed, economics-based reporting) on the potential strengths or value of the concept.

People - and I'm one of them - do balance motives and morals against results. But when the battle is being fought in the realm of public opinion, those who help shape public opinion do the world a gross disservice by focusing on only half the story.

Which creates more misery?

posted by Mitch Berg 8/19/2003 10:46:38 AM

Whodunnit - Instapundit notes that there are lots of people with motive in this morning's bombing at the UN compound in Baghdad.
The problem is that everyone in Iraq, both pro- and anti-Saddam, has a reason to dislike the U.N., which makes assigning responsibility tricky. Put this together with the mortar attack on (presumably pro-Saddam) Iraqi prisoners the other day and it almost makes me wonder if there's a third force at work here. Follow the link for updates as they come in -- The Command Post is all over this story.
Of course, the major media have already declared this further sign of Quagmire; the Today show this morning was all but declaring defeat.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/19/2003 10:19:21 AM

Monday, August 18, 2003

Sorry - Our condolences and prayers go out to Hugh Hewitt, whose father reportedly passed away today.
posted by Mitch Berg 8/18/2003 09:50:32 PM

Mischkified - Scrappleface is on a roll:Scrappleface - making Monday mornings bearable for the past year.
posted by Mitch Berg 8/18/2003 09:28:27 AM

Strib - the Ugly Americans - Whilst eating at a cafe in sunny Toscano - oh, heh heh, excuse me, in English that's "TUS-cany", I'm sorry, I can hardly stop lapsing into Italian since my trip to Italy...did I mention I'd gone to Italy on holiday...er, that's "Vacation" in American? No? Oh, silly me! Yeeeesssss, Geoffrey and I went to Toscan...er, Tuscany for our anniversary! Oh, it was wonderful - everything we'd heard about on Splendid Table, and more!

And the locals? Soooo colorful. Not like in Rome - my goodness, what a tourist trap that was. Nooooo, TUScany was fabulous. Why, I even wrote about it in this week's editorial!
"Oh, don't mention that man to me," the woman in the restaurant said. "How he and his ilk got elected I'll never understand. He's a pure criminal. He certainly doesn't represent me. And to think that now the whole world is watching him!"

Another embittered Democrat, bewailing President Bush?
If it's on the Strib editorial page, the choices are pretty much:
  1. Embittered Democrats bewailing Pawlenty,
  2. Embittered Democrats bewailing talk radio,
  3. Embittered Democrats bewailing any politician to the right of Martin Sabo,
  4. Embittered Democrats bewailing George Bush.
But today, they go internazionale - er, I'm sorry, that's "international", in English...
Hardly. The speaker was Tuscan, the object of her ire Italy's Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi. Just a few days into his half-year term as president of the European Union, the Italian leader was already aswim in controversy and calumny. To a person, Italians are rolling their eyes at the "honor" Berlusconi has claimed for their country. Some honor, to have Italy's chief bully and braggart, and conceivably its biggest crook, strutting on the European stage.
"To a person?" Polls, please?

And I'm trying to figure out which is funnier - that Italians, who are no more corrupt than any other people, but who institutionalized it more than any other western nation due to their rapacious trade unions and omnipresent Mafia connections, and whose flirtation with socialism and communism caused untold dislocation and misery, are complaining about Berlusconi any more than they did about any previous leader, or that the democratically elected Berlusconi is drawing the sort of universal excoriation the editoral claims.
That's how they seem to see it, and who can blame them? Italy's landscapes may be sunny, but its politics tell a dark story. No government seems able to hold on to power for more than a twinkling, and corruption in high places is almost de rigueur.

Take Berlusconi. Though the billionaire owns most Italian media outlets, his countrymen know very well their leader is a con man. They're well aware of his penchant for ducking taxes and pressing his thumbs on the scales of justice -- most recently by hectoring Italy's parliament into granting him immunity for pending bribery charges. Italians seem largely unsurprised. This bit of legerdemain, they know, was necessary to secure Berlusconi's opportunity to take over the rotating E.U. leadership.
"They"?

Who is this "They?" The Strib seems to think that a conversation in a Trattoria al Toscano...er, sorry, Tuscan cafe, gives them some broad mandate (and indeed, does the editorial source "they" at all?)
But of course it has also raised questions about his fitness to serve. And how has Berlusconi responded? Petulantly. One of his first moves was to make a Nazi jibe against a German parliament member.
Oh, dear. Those jibes again.

When the German labor minister made a Nazi "jibe" at President Bush, I don't recall this level of indignance. I guess only the jibee matters, huh?

The next part is where the Strib takes leave of its senses:
The E.U.'s new president has already said he'll focus his term on stemming immigration into Europe -- a pledge consistent with his xenophobic reputation.
And a pledge consistent with those of a large and growing part of the Euroean Electorate!

The Strib editorial board, driving from their offices high above downtown to their North Oaks ramblers, can not comprehend what immigration means in Europe. In America, immigrants move here, and after a generation or two, become Americans (despite the best efforts of the multiculturalists, whom the Strib supports). They can do that here - our culture is all about assimilation. You become American when you take the oath, learn the language, work at the job, and drop your ballot in the box.

It is impossible to become French, or German, or Italian. It's a connection passed on at birth. Immigrants do not assimilate - the cultures are not intrinsically equipped to accept them, and for the most part they do not want to be accepted. Immigrants in Europe live in neighborhoods apart from the rest of the society, speaking their own languages, eating their own foods, roaming the streets in their own gangs, reading their own newspapers. They form large, and increasingly disaffected, and unassimilable, minorities in many countries.

And across Europe, people are getting nervous - and electing more conservative governments who want to dial back the power and impact of immigrants. Italy, Hungary and Denmark have all elected more conservative governments; Germany's socialists held on by the skin of their teeth in the last elections, and state elections have been swinging consistently to the right. Some say only the murder of center-right Pim Fortuyn prevented his election last year in the Netherlands.

Across Europe, people are nervous about the power, the anger and the dissociation of immigrants.

But not, apparently, in the Strib's Tuscan cafe:
Berlusconi himself has said that "the West will continue to conquer peoples, even if it means a confrontation with another civilization, Islam."

Those aren't the words of a humanitarian or a democrat, nor of any sensible European.
One wonders if anyone who differs from the Strib's soft-left cant will ever be called "Sensible".

Europe teems with ethnic hatred; gangs of locals immolate families of Turkish workers; French skinheads torch synogogues; "Sensible" European intellectuals are condoning a rise in anti-semitism; and across the Adriatic from Italy, the inevitable end-result of multiculturalism has been playing out for the last decade, spattering the Balkans with blood (and sending refugees across the sea to Italy, yet again).

Who's sensible?
Europe's population is aging -- its birthrate dropping -- faster than that of any other continent. It desperately needs a thoughtful and continentwide immigration policy that welcomes young immigrant workers to join its enervated societies, underwrite its pension needs and advance its economic growth.
Right.

The Strib, however, misses the key fact that the European Union's "thoughtful, continentwide immigration policy" is that of the multiculti - bring in people, dump them in the cities, and let the hatreds keep on festering.
That's one way to "conquer peoples." Calling them Nazis is another. But neither approach appeals much to the ordinary Italian. And to the extraordinary experiment called the European Union -- a venture meant to strengthen and revitalize an innovation called democracy -- such vile volleys must surely be deemed a disgrace.
The EU is not meant to strengthen democracy; it's meant to strengthen bureaucracy. The elections of Berlusconi and the rise of the European center-right are what is "strengthening democracy", bringing two voices to the table even as the European Union tries to regulate which voices can say what.

Perhaps if the Strib's editorial board needs to spend a little more time in the Moslem ghettoes of Antwerp and Rotterdam and Milan and Vienna, and doing a little less time in cafes alla Toscano.

Er, sorry. That's "In Tuscany".

Laws of Physics, Part II - Some observations:
  1. Gravity pulls downward.
  2. Nature abhors a vacuum.
  3. Systems will tend to conserve their energy.
  4. In every Tom Clancy novel, every protagonist will have an unstoppable urge to resume a long-dormant smoking habit.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/18/2003 06:50:22 AM

Just As Every Cop Is A Criminal - According to today's Strib, it's really the Democrats who are "fiscally responsible":
A group of prominent Democratic economists organized a conference call last week to blast the economic performance of President Bush. Nobel laureate Robert Solow of MIT pointed out that three federal tax cuts in three years have done little to stimulate the sluggish economy.
As of 1983, President Reagan's tax cuts hadn't yet gotten the economy going, either - should it have been tossed out? Oh, wait - the Strib wanted us to do exactly that.
Laura Tyson, who ran President Bill Clinton's Council of Economic Advisers, observed that the government has traded structural budget surpluses for structural deficits since Bush took office.
Yawn war September 11 deflation of Clinton bubble zzzzzz
Berkeley professor George Akerlof, another Nobel laureate, called Bush's tax cuts the worst fiscal policy in 200 years.
Really?

Worse than Lyndon Johnson's simultaneous attempts to fight cold, hot and poverty wars?

This wasn't one of those mail-order Nobel prizes, was it?
One might dismiss this critique as predictable sniping from partisan players -- except that these leading liberals now represent the responsible wing of economic thought in the United States.
WHOAH!

Re-read that statement; it's a non-sequitur. I do dismiss the partisan-hack critique, and the only way the liberals are responsible is if you completely pervert the meaning of the word to a degree that'd make Orwell cry "implausible!"
In a scathing report on U.S. fiscal policy, the IMF warns that continued government borrowing could undercut world confidence in the U.S. dollar and that tax and budget gimmicks approved by Congress this year mean that "fiscal transparency appears to have weakened in recent years."

That's the sort of language the IMF usually reserves for basket-case economies such as Brazil or Mexico.
The IMF is dominated by people who never met a tax they didn't like.
Every major forecast -- by the White House, by the Congressional Budget Office, by private economists -- shows federal deficits persisting long after the economic recovery takes hold.
"Every Major Forecast" in 1985 showed the defict lasting indefinitely, as well.

Major forecasts don't get a lot of credit these days. Justifiably so.
After conferring with his top economists in Crawford, Texas, last week, the president told reporters that the mini-summit had produced no new plans for an economic stimulus program. Perhaps his advisers are confident that the economy is on its way to a robust recovery. Or perhaps they recognize that there's no money left in Washington to give away.
Or maybe they realized we, the taxpayers, have no more money to "give away" to the type of wastrels who pay attention to the the ravings of the IMF, Laura Tyson and Robert Solow.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/18/2003 06:47:20 AM

Scheer Lunacy - The Strib editorial page was...an embarassment of riches? No, the Strib editorial page was rich with embarassment yesterday.

Of course, every time they print the execrable Robert Scheer, it's throwing chum to the fisk gallery. Yesterday's installment, "A bid to divert attention from GOP's record", was no exception.
However you feel about Gray Davis, the fact is, this recall has become a shell game, led and paid for by Republicans, that conveniently distracts from the alarming failures and frauds of the White House.
I think it'd be more accurate to say that Bush's alleged failures are a shell game for Scheer to draw attention away from Gray Davis.
That includes the Bush administration's blind eye to the energy sting that robbed the California government of a good chunk of its past budget surplus.
The "Energy Sting" was made possible by Clinton-era changes in accounting regulations, and California's loopy-left regulations on new power plant construction.
The giddy media spectacle of porn stars and action heroes seeking to lead the world's sixth-largest economy should not divert us from the fact that the key black marks on Davis' resume -- the energy crisis and the budget shortfall -- were both messes created by deregulating, tax-cutting Republicans.
Scheer is wrong. Both "black marks" - as if there are only two - were direct results of Democrat meddling: the hyperregulation of the power industry, which created vast regulation with no increase in available power, and the collapse of the Clinton bubble.
In dealing with both, Davis has not pulled any rabbits out of his hat, but he has been a competent leader who minimized the damage. The red ink in California is a mere needle prick compared with the hemorrhaging of trillions in future debt thanks to President Bush's tax cuts for the rich, the invasion of Iraq and other disasters.
Future debt?

"OK, so there's not so much of a problem now, but someday, boy oh boy, that Bush is gonna be in trouble...

OBLIGATORY CONSPIRACY THEORY:
Suddenly the Republicans care not a whit about those social values they have been prattling about, or anything else but defeating a prominent Democrat. They brook no opposition, even from a conservative Democrat; their goal is a one-party system.
Read: "Not only are they ickypoopy, they want to crush democracy".

Say what you will about the recall - and I think recalls for anything short of felonies are a lousy idea - but Scheer's response, "Oh, yeah, well, Republicans are worse!" isn't going to save Davis. Or make Scheer any less of a comic fisking extravaganza.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/18/2003 05:44:57 AM

Sunday, August 17, 2003

Steyn on Arianna - Via Instapundit, here's Steyn in the WSJ, in a (per usual) sidesplitting critique of the Huffington campaign:
"If I had a pair o' dime for every time she's disdained the old paradigm, I'd be rich enough to run for governor, too.

Instead it's Arianna who's standing up and fighting for the little man. He lives at Apartment D, 47 Elm Street. But other little men are bound to be joining the campaign any day now, just you wait, and, even if they don't, there's always Warren Beatty. Arianna is taking us beyond the old left/right, rich/poor, hugely popular/massively obscure paradigms to forge a top-down grassroots movement tapping into a vast dried-up reservoir of inactive activists giving voice to millions who feel disenfranchised--so totally disenfranchised they don't even show up in polling surveys, which is why her numbers are down around 4% with Larry Flynt. Following the success of her hybrid car, she's now experimenting with a bandwagon that runs on nothing"
Not that different from the post-Ventura Minnesota Independence Party...

posted by Mitch Berg 8/17/2003 10:01:27 PM

Trolling for Signficance - Interesting bit on the Fraters blog yesterday about what the City Pages collection of blogs calls "the first cybermooning":
"Apparently last week there was a coordinated effort among Left leaning blogs across the nation to protest the lawsuit filed by Fox News against Al Franken, his upcoming book, and his use of their trademarked phrase "
Or as the City Pages (in their blog edition, Twin Cities Babelogue, puts it:
Fair and balanced? Was it ever! Blah3 has the best list — over 500 participating blogs letting Fox News know how very, very much we love them. In conjunction with National Fair and Balanced Day, Bush Wars conducted a poll on Bill O'Reilly (more at the Couch Pundit), but the big news was the scope and success of the first-ever cyber-mooning. Exposing their ass cheeks to power, the online Left may have just come of age.
Seems trite and trivial? Maybe, but I think it points to something larger.

Blogs on both sides have gotten into big group activities like this. Let's compare them:
  • Right Blogs - Coordinated blogging on Iranian independence day, to draw attention to the anti-theocracy protesters and their suffering, and to support their yearning for freedom.
  • Left Blogs - Coordinated blogging on behalf of comic Al Franken, to support his yearning for relevance.
  • Right Blogs - Gang fact-checking the New York Times, eventually helping to lead to the exposure of a culture of PC and disregard for the truth at the Old Gray Lady.
  • Left Blogs - "Cyber-mooning" Fox News.
As a tribute to the brave efforts of our cyber freedom fighters of the left, I'm going to co-opt trademarks from both the City Pages and Al Franken, for purely satirical purposes (see the top-right side of the page).

I'll await their applause of my courageous stance for my beliefs.

posted by Mitch Berg 8/17/2003 11:36:29 AM

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