Saturday, January 11, 2003

Torn Signal - I'm kinda torn about the SUV "controversy".

On the one hand, Arianna Huffington continues to make a name as the RINOiest RINO in America. And her spin needs some work:
Responding to the growing public outcry over its reckless gas-guzzling ways...
Er, hold on, Ari - the only "outcry" is the one coming from anti-SUV activists. The only "outcry" that that is getting out to the public at large is that of people looking to buy more of them.

On the other hand - well, she brings up a few good points in the article. The SUV has benefitted from a lot of political and administrative legerdemain (even allowing for SUVs' obvious market appeal).

On a related issue - I hear a lot of people say they buy SUV's for "safety". I'm tempted to do the same - to be safe from SUV drivers. Criminy, some of these people climb on top of those humonganoid behemoths and forget all the basic rules of the road, and every hint of highway courtesy.

True story - after every blizzard, or whenever driving conditions get terrible, I keep a rough count of the proportion of vehicles in the ditch. SUVs end up in the ditch roughly in double to five times their proportional numbers. Yeah, it's unscientific - and it's certainly not the SUV's fault. But the theory that many SUV drivers buy them to compensate for their own inadequate driving skills seems to be a fair one. (No, of course I'm not talking about you. Criminy). And I say that as someone who used to drive a CJ7, and would love to do it again.

Here's what I'd pay to see: The doddering Greenie in the smoke-belching Subaru wagon with the environmental and "peace" stickers that cut me off on 35W at 36th yesterday, in a demolition derby with the dim bulb in the jacked-up F-350 Club Cab that ran the red light on Highway 55 on Thursday. Maybe a cage match, to boot.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/11/2003 07:31:48 PM

Remembering Wellstone - As I said at the time of his tragic and untimely death, I disagreed pretty forthrightly with pretty much everything Paul Wellstone stood for, at least politically - but, like many genuine conservatives, I had plenty of respect for him as a person.
While he was liberal enough to make Ted Kennedy blanche, and his convictions in that direction were utterly unshakeable, he had great intellectual respect for opposing viewpoints.
Now, his former employer - Carleton College, in Northfield, MN - is holding a public symposium on Wellstone, on February 28.

I mention that to give some context to what comes next.

This symposium was announced on the Minnesota Politics mailing list. I asked - on the mailing list - if anyone, especially Republicans, were interested in car-pooling to the event. I figure, it's worth covering. There's nothing about dissenting from Wellstone's beliefs that is inimical to morality, sensitivity, or for that matter anything Wellstone professed to beleive.

This was one of the responses posted on the mailing list - by a local Green activist:
Yeah, what could be more entertaining? Throw in the opportunity to get linked by Glenn Reynolds,
Reynolds would be great, but I'd like to get on Virginia Postrel's radar. But I digress
... and every Minnesota Republican with a Blogger account will be headed down to Northfield, ready to take (or at least claim) offense....
The only offense I could possibly take is the narrow-minded bigotry of some of Wellstone's supporters. While I disagreed, vocally and constantly, with Wellstone's politics, I expressed nothing but respect for him as a person, an intellectual and a fellow citizen. Would that many of his supporters were so honest.

Onward:
Are Paul and Sheila buried nearby? Maybe you could bring your digital cameras and post some JPEGs of you dancing on their graves. That would rawk the crowd over on freerepublic. That would get bumped and bumped again.
That ices it.

I'd figured the odds were maybe 1 in 4 I'd actually be able to do this. It's hard to find sitters, you know.

But after that crack - it's a lock. Even if I gotta drag the kids along, I'm there. I'll cover this event - the good, the bad, the Cantina-Band-Scene-esque. Because while Wellstone deserved all the respect conservatives give him, many of his supporters are no better than Klansmen, when you get right down to it.
Have fun, guys. Hope you rock the Blogdex charts. Don't forget the little people on MSD when you get linked by best-of-the-web.
I don't care if nobody reads it - I'll be there.

See you in Northfield on Feb. 28.

See "Trivial Pursuit, 2005" - Campaigns and Elections cites a few Minnesota stories in its Best and Worst of the 2002 Elections story.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/11/2003 06:16:01 PM

More on Iraq - Jay Reding - who has an excellent Minnesota-based blog - has excellent rejoinder to a really dumb San Fran Chronicle editorial:
Someone needs to be bonked over the head with a copy of Clausewitz. Exactly what benefit would oil companies get from a war in Iraq? Let's apply Occam's Razor here: could a cartel of oil companies secretly be manipulating US policy from the sidelines without there being one shred of evidence supporting it? If Enron can't keep a secret, what makes Mr. Morford think that Chevron or Exxon can any better - especially when it's something as monumental as this? Then again, one should never look to deeply into someone's paranoid rantings.
It's a long piece, and it's all worth a read.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/11/2003 05:08:49 PM

Best News All Week - Whatever else is going on, at least she is blogrolling me.

Brightened my day just a tad.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/11/2003 04:49:21 PM

Status Report - We take a break from our usual politics and current events to talk about me.

I had nine - count 'em, nine - job interviews last week. Most were with headhunters - they wanted to meet me before they started sending resumes around. Most of them had some opportunities in the hopper.

This is actually a good sign for the economy; my job (software designer, AKA "Human Factors Engineer", "Information Architect", "Business Analyst" or "User Interaction Designer") is something people need done at the beginning of a project. This means that companies are actually thinking about starting projects - much of it work deferred from last year, but it's still work. Barring any catastrophes, I think it's a sign that the economy's picking up. It's certainly a sign that my economy is showing promise after a one-week-and-counting depression.

Next week - interview at one Fortune 500, possible interview at a second, and an opportunity to start at yet another...

...for a two month gig as a technical writer. Now, with apologies to all of you techwhirlies who read this column, Aaaaagh. I spent four years trying to get out of tech writing into what I"m doing now!

But that's the end of my whining about it - one job in the hand is worth two in the bush, especially when most of the things I've been interviewing for probably won't start for another...wait for it...wait...two months.

Well, it certainly could be worse!

And thanks to those who've responded to my none-too-subtle redirection to my tip jar. Again, all funds received will go toward keeping "Shot in the Dark" online.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/11/2003 09:25:33 AM

Blanket Pardon - I've been wondering when this would happen - Ilinois governor Ryan plans to commute all Illinois Death Row sentences to life in prison.
"I have had mixed emotions concerning this issue," Ryan told the Sun-Times explaining while he'll reduce all of the sentences to--at most--life in prison. No pardons are expected. "Occasionally, it was on the front burner, sometimes on the back burner and sometimes off the burner as to what to do at all.
This is an issue I've always been torn over. I'm a conservative (anyone still have any doubts about that?), but I've always had qualms about the death penalty.

OK, let's be accurate - one qualm. I think the death penalty - constitutionally applied - is moral, and sometimes necessary.

I also think that it's almost inevitable that the death penalty will be mistakenly applied. The Stanford University Death Center Information Project raised a lot of hackles in 1987 with its report that a number of innocent people had been proven innocent. The report had its critics as well - few things are black and white with this issue.

But it seems clear that the innocent have been executed, and that nothing really prevents it from happening again, although some (like Ann Coulter dispute that, too). Prosecutors are not only human - some of them are corrupt humans with their minds focused on their politics. Executions equal votes, which is too tempting for some prosecutors.

My step-son's high school history teacher is a former Cook County (Chicago) public defender, whose crowning achievement was getting four innocent men released from Illinois' Death Row about ten years ago. They'd been convicted "beyond a reasonable doubt" - only because prosecutors had stashed or destroyed exculpatory evidence.

It happens. In Illinois, it seems to happen a lot. Hence, Ryan's action.

Can't say as I'd argue about it this time.

Your thoughts?

posted by Mitch Berg 1/11/2003 07:30:35 AM

Friday, January 10, 2003

More to Come - Extremely busy day - I'll get some blogging done tonight and this weekend.
posted by Mitch Berg 1/10/2003 05:08:02 PM

Thursday, January 09, 2003

Expert Testimony - The "Today" show this morning will feature representatives from, as Katie Couric says, "Americans who don't want America to send troops into Iraq". Who are these "respresentatives"?
  • "A clergyman". OK, fair enough. But (not having seen the story yet), I'll bet that the "clergyman" is a representative of a denomination that has cast its lot behind appeasement of all violent dictators. Maybe even my own, Presbyterian church.
  • A Retired Admiral
  • Martin Sheen. You know: the "Real President", the leader of the Democratic party. A man with vast foreign policy experience if there's ever been one.
UPDATE: The Reverend is, predictably, from the US Council of Churches. These are "america last-ers' of the worst order - the same people who raised money to send to Communist guerrillas in the seventies and eighties. The same people who turned out the troops to get Elian Gonzales sent back to his long-suffering father in Cuba - but refused to help a Cuban father in America whose child was being illegally held in communist Cuba. Some of his bon mots: "We saw women at a presbyterian church (in Baghdad) who are...committed to peacemaking". He carped endlessly about the sanctions. The Revererend has judged that the inspections are being given full latitude - nothing is being hidden. Honest Injun. "We're concerned about the children", he kept repeating. As if the rest of us aren't. He mentioned nothing of oppression, of the chidren that the secret police tortured, raped, murdered, nothing of the behavior that got the sanctions instituted...well, not like I expected that.

The admiral, a Mr. Shanahan, says "Iraq poses no threat today that would warrant an invasion. There is no smoking gun". He says he's more concerned with the "military aspects" - "Taking Iraq is not going to be a piece of Baklava...my experience with siege warfare is that it's the worst form of warfare". Of course, his experience was in WWII, Korea and Vietnam. In the Navy. Not to belittle that, but warfare has changed. To her credit, Couric asked the Reverend about the deception in Iraqi inspections, even held his feet in the fire.

Sheen was his inevitably sanctimonious self. "There is no reason to justify killing Iraqi children". "If we are a Christian nation...then this war denies and destroys our humanity", says Sheen, suddenly a great Christian leader. He went on to ask "if we know where the Weapons of Mass Destruction are, why aren't we telling the inspectors? [that's right - we're the problem].

Couric asked him "why haven't we heard more voices like yours?" Sheen answered with the biggest hooter of the morning: "We're ruled by fear and idolatry". But of course - anyone who disagrees with you isn't playing with a full deck. Yes, Martin, many of us do fear terrorists with weapons of mass destruction, of whatever origin, or fear the real result of future Iraqi WMDs - hegemony over the Middle Eastern oil supply on which many of our jobs depend. But there's a lot more to it than that.

Sheen ended with this: "And may I remind you, the only fear we have is fear itself.". I'm not making that up.

I'm going to slip into Kim du Toit mode: Let's hope this interview makes it onto the evening news. It'll set the left back even further.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/9/2003 08:06:13 AM

Day Four - The third day of a job hunt is always the worst one. Yesterday, despite three excellent interviews (the fourth was pushed back to Friday at the interviewer's request), was no exception.

First interview of the morning at a management consulting firm downtown. Oh, Jeebus, I want a job downtown. Almost all my jobs in the last ten years have been out in the 'burbs. But there's a hustle and bustle downtown that I just love. The interview was just great - they placed people in my area in December (almost unheard-of). They MIGHT need another, and in any case I knocked the interview out of the park and they have possibilities at some other companies. I get the impression that there are big things brewing - in about a month or two. Yagh.

The woman with whom I interviewed *loved* my voice. So she put me in touch with her husband, a video producer who needs voiceover guys. We'll talk today. Hitch: All of my tapes from my years as a voiceover guy (1986-1989) are long missing.

Second interview: Lunch with another headhunter. Went quite well - possible openings at a big investment company. But - yup, nothing RIGHT now.

Third interview: rather booming little contract company downtown. This was a pre-interview for one I was supposed to do this afternoon, at a local retail megachain. They told me that (bad news) they might not need me in there this afternoon for the "real" interview (which is a "team" interview now, and might be limited to project managers), but (good news) they might need someone as early as Monday and (better but slightly less likely news) they might need me for more of a lead analyst position than as a tech writer.

And one resume that I sent - and expected to be promptly rejected - has apparently gone over quite well. The headhunter says she expects I could get an interview (full-time position as a "Systems Analyst" primarily focused on GUI work) as early as next week.

But the grind of it all hit me yesterday. Maybe a little existential panic setting in. Eight or nine interviews this week - none for next week, so far. And of course, lots of stuff that could, and probably will, set up in the next month or two; almost nothing hiring RIGHT at the moment.

Sigh. Hopefully today'll feel better. One interview, possibly two, today, plus two (including a second with the consulting gig I REALLY want) tomorrow.

Jebus, I hate this. I know I'm pretty good at looking for work. I only wish it paid. If it did, I'd be pretty flush at the moment.

I am too proud to beg. But I'll draw your attention again to the tip jar - proceeds of which go to keeping Shot In The Dark online.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/9/2003 07:59:41 AM

Face - I rarely watch "Today". It's astounding, sometimes.

Right now they're interviewing former ambassador Donald Gregg, a North Korea expert. He sees the administration's big problem with North Korea being one of "not understanding Asian sensibilities" - to paraphrase him, "they had President Clinton in their laps. Then President Bush comes into office, calls them a member of the Axis of Evil...they lost face". Well, I suppose that's true. I suspect the Japanese lost face when we scrubbed them from the Pacific in WWII. But there was a reason for that.

On the other hand, Gregg called it correctly: Iraq has attacked its neighbors, used weapons of mass destruction, used its military force as an instrument of policy. North Korea not only has not, but is unlikely to.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/9/2003 07:22:53 AM

Words to Live By - The blogosphere is full of people who wear their emotions on their sleeves. For whom animus comes easily.

I'm one of them, of course.

They - and I - should read this Lileks piece, which puts it into better perspective:
If a Baldwin offend thee, change the channel. I don’t hate Michael Moore, I pity him - he’s going to die in 15 years of a massive coronary on a cold tiled bathroom floor, awash in the blasts of his emptied bowels, his autopsy photos posted to The Smoking Gun's new 3D holographic photo section. People in Hollywood may be idiots; they may be full of sophomoric moralizing, they may trot off to Baghdad and play the puppet for a megalomaniac toddler-torturer, but I can’t hate them. You have to husband that emotion and spend it carefully. Once, twice, maybe three times in your life you’ll come across someone who just plain needs hatin’. Hitler. Bin Laden. Stalin. Barris. Check, check, check, Chuck.
One needs to have priorities.

And Barris would be one of mine.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/9/2003 07:13:51 AM

Wednesday, January 08, 2003

Desperation? - As the Legislature reconvenes, the sides are mapping out their positions in the Concealed Carry debate. While Concealed Carry Reform Now of Minnesota prepares to take advantage of the new Republican gains, the measure's newly-renamed opponents are staging their own protest (scroll down):
...several dozen pink-clad women from the Coalition to End Gun Violence lined the steps leading to the Senate chamber in a protest against expanded handgun rights.

For years, the DFL-controlled Senate has blocked House efforts to make permits to carry handguns available to more Minnesotans. But Republicans and conservative outstate DFLers who favor handgun rights now predominate in the Senate, making the measure a strong candidate for passage.
Readers of this blog already know that part. But here's the part I love:
Instead of emphasizing effects on public safety, the coalition distributed handbills Tuesday pointing out projected added costs of $600,000 for the measure. "Can Minnesota really afford concealed carry?" the handbill asked.
This, as "Welfare Rights" supporters cavorted nearby.

So they've abandoned the public safety angle, and are trying to attack the costs. This session is looking better and better.

The piece, by the way, is written by Conrad deFiebre, who has distinguished himself and the Strib by actually covering this issue fairly and honestly over the last few sessions. A rare kudo to the Strib.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/8/2003 07:19:03 AM

"My Father Was a Gangsta" - I know some fellow conservatives who are appalled when I say this - but I love Eminem.

No, I won't let my kids buy the CD, and I'll wash my son's mouth out with Lysol if I catch him talking like that. But Marshall Mathers is the most riveting rap artist - yes, "artist" - since Public Enemy's Chuck D. But late at night, when I crank up my MP3s or dial up Microsoft Radio, I'm fascinated not only by his pure technical chops (he combines the speed of an auctioneer with the humor and articulation of a slam poet), but by the material. Some of the stuff on his new album, and the 8 Mile soundtract, is intensely, deeply gripping, sometimes moving - which is all I care about with music, whether it's classical, rock, bluegrass or gangsta rap.

But this part is new to me, and fascinates me - Chuck Eddy's Village Voice piece on Eminem as a single dad.
Eminem, of course, is Marshall's alter ego. And sometimes Eminem goes by the name Slim Shady. And sometimes he plays a movie character who shares a name with the protagonist of John Updike novels about suburban midlife crises. In 8 Mile, when Rabbit's buddies are doing their ceremonial Devil's Night-style arson on the eyesore shell of an abandoned Motor City crack house, he salvages a torn, burnt snapshot of a happy (black) nuclear family, gets all choked up, and says, "When I was little, I used to want to live in a house like this."
The piece is long, and chock full of contradictions, and absolutely fascinating.

Although Sam still isn't getting the CD.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/8/2003 07:05:12 AM

Perfect Day - I liked this bit on Fraters Libertas, partly because of the homage to newly, involuntarily-departed WCCO noon news host Bill Carlson, but to the whole imagery of being home, sick but not too sick, when you're a kid.
It's a cold January day. The winds whirl, the trees moan. Snow is piled in drifts that are measured in feet, not inches. But none of this matters to you today because today you are Staying Home. You've managed to convince your mother you (cough cough) don't really feel well and just couldn't make it today. She reluctantly agrees and it's on.

Whatever you want to eat, she'd whip up since "A hamburger and a malt are the only things that sound good to me". She'd also leave you alone to recuperate, but since a kid can't sleep ALL DAY, she would also move the small black and white TV into your room (for the duration of your sickness only).

There you watch the shows of the housewives and the unemployed: Price Is Right, Tic Tac Dough, maybe a Gilligan's re-run on channel 9, the Gong Show and for whatever reason the 12 o'clock news on channel 4.
I remember doing the same when I was a kid - the only changes in the ritual (maybe once a year) were that I NEVER got the burger and malt (Campbells Chicken Soup, baybee), Mom'd get me a bottle of 7up, and Dad'd bring me home a Mad Magazine after work.

My kids haven't discovered this ritual yet. There's only one parent in the home, and kids today are afraid of being alone, I think - moreso than when I was a kid.

As to the daytime TV lineup - the Fraters' JB Doubtless is probably too young to remember the real cool "sick day" TV - Match Game with Gene Rayburn, followed by that horrible thing with Burt Convy...which one was that? Oh, hell, everything with Burt Convy was horrible.

Speaking of daytime TV - I'm not watching any yet. After two days out of work, I've spent about eight hours on the phone, and now have nine interviews this week (including Tuesday's two). Four of them are today (Wednesday). So hopefully this unemployed interlude will be fairly brief. Fingers crossed.

And thanks to those who answered my muted plea yesterday - I got enough money to keep the site on the air a few months. Not that I'll turn anything else down - I mean, if I can do my February mortgage payment, that'd be fine too. But seriously - thanks for your generosity.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/8/2003 03:59:41 AM

Tuesday, January 07, 2003

The Pyongyang Panic - It's been interesting, and a little depressing, listening to a lot of liberals - and not a few conservatives - flying into their respective lathers over the North Korea crisis. Conservatives worry about mushroom clouds over LA and Seattle - not without some justification, of course. Liberals hold up North Korea as a sign that the President's moves against Iraq are misguided.

I've been wanting to write coherently about the North Korea situation for weeks. The BBC went and beat me to it with this excellent piece.
Decoding North Korea is not easy at the best of times. That in itself is a Pyongyang ploy. An aura of mystery and a reputation for unpredictability are useful - they keep the world guessing, and nervous of provoking such a maverick state.

Blood-curdling rhetoric too is par for the course, making it hard to know when the North Koreans really mean it.
But all too many in America take it all at face value - left, right and media. One can not view the happenings of the past few weeks in isolation from the fact that this is the same North Korea that periodically lands commandos in the South, that has its navy muscle ROK and Japanese fishing boats, and to fire on the South's navy, that sends the odd mortar shell over the DMZ at the 38th Parallel just to liven things up. This is a regime that thrives on brinksmanship - as the BBC explains:
Brinkmanship is also a tried and tested tactic. North Korea tends to take an extreme stance before entering talks, so that that any slight concession is seized on by its interlocutors as a sign of progress.
In other words, Kim Jong-Il should have been a divorce lawyer.

Another key thing to watch - while Kim leads an immense personality cult supported by an Orwellian, nearly-airtight police state, he's not the sole arbiter of power in the North:
Nor, despite appearances, should we view Pyongyang as united behind the will of its leader, Kim Jong-il.

Earlier this year, North Korea showed signs of reaching out to the outside world.

But now North Korean diplomats are seeing those efforts in tatters - the EU is suspending aid and Australia has shelved plans to open an embassy.

This suggests that, as indeed they whisper, the real power lies with a benighted and inbred military, who have much to lose if peace breaks out.

For that matter, Kim Jong-il may himself be in thrall to his generals. Or again, creating a crisis could be a bid to stave off unrest at home, as hunger continues to bite.
Not unlike dealing with the Soviet Politburo in the late eighties.

Sun-Tzu said "keeping your opponents guessing" is a key part of the art of war. Kim Jong-Il knows this - and so, blessedly, does the Bush Administration, which has exhibited its own crafty use of disinformation on the world stage.

So, to liberals who point to North Korea as sign of the President's supposed pusillanimity, note this:
  • North Korea is playing politics its own way. This "nuke scare" is nothing new.
  • Not to make light of the situation, but lest one wonder: the North might have a nuke or two. We have hundreds. Kim could level part of Seoul - a city that, unlike any American city, would likely be ready for it - at the cost of his entire nation.
  • Conquering Iraq gives us something we need to fight the entire war on terrorism, throughout the Gulf, Southwest Asia and North Africa - bases we don't currently have. From Iraq, US Central Command would be in position to squeeze Iran and Syria, plus leave the Saudis no doubt who was in charge in the region. This would give us immense strategic leverage against all the terror-supporting powers in the region - in chess terms, it's thinking a few moves ahead. North Korea, on the other hand, is already in a corner. It gets along with China and Russia as it needs to, and we already have bases in Japan and South Korea that give us a crushing advantage against their huge but obsolescent military.
In other words - stay the course.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/7/2003 03:17:06 PM

The Hair Squad - War correspondents go through boot camp.
Nearly 60 journalists from around the world participated in a course -- the second in a series -- designed to enhance their effectiveness and safety in combat. The first time the Department of Defense offered such training to journalists preparing to enter a potential war zone was in late November at Marine Corps Base Quantico, Va., officials said.

Fort Benning's 2nd Battalion, 58th Infantry Regiment, played host Dec. 16-20 to a number of war correspondents and photographers from CBS, CNN, The New York Times, Newsweek, Washington Post, and Al Jazeera.

Soldiers from various units and directorates led a crash course in combat survival, including the proper ways to enter and exit a helicopter, first aid, land navigation, reacting to direct and indirect fire, mine awareness and protection against nuclear, biological and chemical warfare.

"I've been in a couple of situations where this kind of training might've helped -- Kosovo, Belgrade, Saudi ..." said Kerry Sanders, an NBC correspondent from Miami. "Through all that, I never had any formal training. I'm pleased with this. It's a good opportunity, especially the NBC (chamber). The threat of chemical warfare seems more real this time around, and I do feel a little more prepared."
I wonder if the Army plans on sending any bloggers overseas? I volunteer...

I've been wondering for years when the military would break down and do this sort of thing - not only start working relationships with reporters, but try to develop some respect on the part of media people for what soldiering is about.

Everyone wins, I'd think; the media get the wherewithal to tell the stories that need to get out, while the military get to snicker at newspaper reporters trying to squeeze into Kevlar vests.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/7/2003 01:51:24 PM

Shhhhhhhhhh - Just between us, the Third Mech Infantry Division is conducting the biggest live-fire exercises since the Gulf War, in the Kuwaiti desert.
UDAIRI RANGE, Kuwait (Army News Service, Jan. 3, 2002) -- More than 4,000 soldiers from 2nd Brigade and other elements of the 3rd Infantry Division (Mechanized) conducted their first live-fire battle Dec. 21 at the Udairi Range Complex in Kuwait.

"I believe this is the largest Army exercise since Operation Desert Storm," said Maj. Gen. Buford C. Blount III, commander, 3rd Inf. Div. (Mech.), Fort Stewart and Hunter Army Airfield, Ga. "An entire brigade with over 70 tanks and 70 Bradleys is here, and we have division command and control over everything."

The rest of the 3rd Infantry Division (Mech.) has now received deployment orders to Kuwait and will begin deploying next week, officials said. They said once together in Kuwait, the division will continue to train, honing its combat power and awaiting further orders.
Of course, it's not a secret what's going on - the departure of our troops is as quiet as a NASCAR race, and the training in Kuwait, and the "official" media's release over the weekend that allied Special Forces are already active in Iraq, is part of the psychological campaign against Hussein. The whole world knows what's going on.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/7/2003 12:47:25 PM

On the Beach - My contract got "de-funded" last Friday, so I'm back job-hunting again. Two interviews today, three tomorrow. We'll see.

If anyone needs a software designer/Human Factors/Usability/Information Architecture/Content Producer guy, give me a holler.

And not to Sullivan anyone, but if the urge strikes you to toss a buck or two in my handy tip jar, it'd be most appreciated. Proceeds go to keeping Shot In The Dark online.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/7/2003 07:59:28 AM

Stupid Radio Tricks - Stupid, but fun, anyway. Two Miami disk jockeys place a hoax phone call to Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez, disguised as Fidel Castro.

Get Barnard on this.

(via Instapundit)

posted by Mitch Berg 1/7/2003 06:40:54 AM

Monday, January 06, 2003

Our New Dystopia - Over the weekend, several emailers told me I had to read yesterday's op-eds in the Strib for the new pieces by Lori Sturdevant and Jim Boyd.

Remember back in, say, 1993? There were tortured-sounding editorials in The Guardian, the New York Times and the Washington Post, and by the likes of the Cockburns and Dan Rather Daniel Schorr, about how crazy, ugly, inefficient and just plain different life was in the former Soviet Union and Eastern Bloc? How the trains were running even less on time than before? About the difficulties people were having dealing with more than one opinion being allowed, or with prices not being set by central authorities, or with having to find a job on their own?

These pieces start with the same basic assumption: that as long as one group, or party, or side in an argument holds absolute control, it's the same as "consensus".

Sturdevent's piece sneaks up on you - starts by complementing Governor-Elect Pawlenty, then slides into some really ugly stereotyping:
Time was when there was no doubt: Minnesota, rural and urban, was one state. City people literally had country cousins. Suburbs were the clusters of stores and houses at the end of the streetcar lines that took the breadwinners to the big downtowns to work.
Read: Outstate Minnesotat was a bunch of "country cousins", people stayed down on the farm and let city people with the book larnin' do the governin'. Ya sure. And the burbs were just where people went to sleep at night, before taking the mass transit line, peace be upon its name, to the city. They knew their place.

Onward:
Folks throughout Minnesota listened to Cedric Adams at lunchtime and bedtime, cheered for the Gophers, and ended the summer with a trip to the State Fair.
And spoke with Swedish Accents! And ate Lutefisk! And indulged in more facile cultural stereotypes!
Minnesotans were nearly all white, nearly all middle-class, nearly all Christian.
And nearly all male! Er...whoops.

We return to Sturdevant:
The few who were not were shunted aside into city ghettos and the Iron Range, the better for the majority to pretend they did not exist.
So let's make sure we have this straight: If we were to say "America was a great place fifty or a hundred years ago - a place where you could fly the flag, where merit ruled, where taxes were low and self-reliance high, where you could both pray AND learn in a public school, where kids waited until marriage to have sex, families stayed together and neighbors cared about each other", many people of Sturdevant's ilk would accuse you of indulging in a sentimental cultural myth.

But when the writer is canonizing a cultural myth of the left - then apparently it's another matter:
That homogeneous Minnesota is gone -- and to the extent that it was a racist, insular place, good riddance. No Minnesotan should want to turn back the social clock.

But neither should any Minnesotan want to be rid of the legacy of Minnesota's monocultural era, for it includes things that have put this state on the map: a world-recognized University of Minnesota; a K-12 education system of notable quality; bountiful, well-protected natural resources; a sturdy transportation system; a helping hand for those less fortunate; richly varied cultural amenities.

The irony is this: Building and maintaining the things Minnesotans hold in common has become both more necessary and more difficult as the state has become more diverse. They are the things that acculturate the newcomers, provide opportunity, renew the economy and stabilize a fast-changing society. They are the touchstones of "brand Minnesota" in the global competition for prosperity.
So let me get this straight - the Ole and Lena, Yumpin Yiminy, Cedric Adams stereotype is what makes this state great?

Or is it:
But those common enterprises often take the label "government services," and as such, they are no longer as widely appreciated. Agreeing how and how much to pay for them was tough even before the recession hit.
Did you catch that? "But we did it, back before all those uppity conservatives shattered our, ahem, consensus".

Do you see the subtle link here? "Good Ol' Hunky Dory Ski U Mah Minnesota" equals government services. The alternative...:
Adams [John Adams, U of M Geographer] is a student of the burgeoning growth in Twin Cities suburbs since 1970. It coincides, he said, with an increasing psychological detachment of Minnesotans from a whole-state identity.

People increasingly believe they have little in common with Minnesotans who live in another region of the state, Adams said.
"Increasingly"? Does Adams believe that people in the Iron Range ever really identified with the rural southwest? Or that people in the Twin Cities ever gave the Red River Valley any thought?

But no, that's not the divide that troubles Adams and Sturdevant.
For example, "most people in the suburbs don't have anything to do with Minneapolis or St. Paul. More and more of the economy is outside the core cities." It has been pulled there, Adams says, by low-cost land, underpriced utilities, infrastructure improvements funded by someone else,
But not, of course, the failure of the big-state system spawned by the "consensus" for which Sturdevant pines. It couldn't possibly occur to Sturdevant (so it seems) that people are abandoning the cities and her precious "consensus" because the big state's efforts to "acculturate the newcomers" through relentless PC have alienated the people who foot the bills, and in fact is just a sentimental code-word for "subsidizing poverty", perpetuating that which it claims to abhor; programs to "provide opportunity" have wasted billions and provided no opportunity that the market couldn't do better; efforts "renew the economy" have dragged the economy, and trying to "stabilize a fast-changing society" stultifies it.

The message of Sturdevant's piece - "Shame on you suburbanites, farmers and other dissidents for not knowing your place, and falling into line behind the banner of Hubert and Fritz and Saint Wellstone. Shame! Do you not know, it's the Minnesota Way?"

Lileks says everything I did, but more succinctly:
The articles were part of a package about this shattered state, this bifurcated land riven by cultural schisms. Twas not always so. When the state was, oh, 60% Democrat and 40% Republican, we were united, marching into the glorious dawn with ours arms linked, a hymn on our lips to Great Leader Hubert and Dear Leader Mondale. Now that the state appears to be 60% Republican and 40% Democrat, however, we are like a cold bar of taffy smashed on the granite tabletop - pieces and shards, a whole no more. The reason? Individualism. The articles all lament the sad fact that Minnesotans no longer think of themselves as a collective, but regard themselves as individuals. And where are these doubleplus ungood rebels? They’re out there living in THE SUBURBS.
It goes on from there. Perhaps the piece should be saved in a time capsule, as a record of what we Minnesotans faced in our ruling...er, governing elites' attitudes.

Boyd's article ended with easily its best observation - something Ms. Sturdevant should have taken to heart before uncasing her Powerbook:
However we build on what is, it's better than wishing for what was.
Indeed. The old stereotypes are dead.

Time to wheel in the new ones!
One of the most important was reported last week in the newest census reports: Minnesota's population has grown by 65 percent since 1950, a much faster rate than any other state in the upper Midwest. Many of those new Minnesotans came from surrounding states, but many others came from farther away. Most have settled in the Twin Cities suburbs; they are weighted toward the professions; they tend to be Republican, and they were not steeped in the old Minnesota compact.
Alternate explanation: they weren't raised with Scando-Lutheran groupthink coloring their every human interaction.
The second influence has been the change in the parties, and it's not limited to Minnesota. The Republican Party has systematically rid itself of its moderate wing. It has managed to define its message simply -- economic growth through tax cuts -- while Democrats still struggle with a cacophony of discordant voices.
This observation should shock all of you Republicans. We're unified? I'll remember that at my next caucus meeting.

Seriously, there are deep rifts in the GOP - conservative versus moderate, single-issue pro-lifers versus those focused on economics, Rockefellers versus Reagans. But if we are seen as uniting around the "growth through tax cuts" message, we must be doing something right in spite of ourselves!
The upshot in Minnesota, as in most states and the nation as a whole, is that conservative Republicans sit in the catbird seat, and likely will for a long time. There is no middle from which a new consensus can be -- or needs to be -- formed.
The amazing part is that Boyd thought there ever was a "moderate consensus". When, as Lileks said, Minnesota was 60% DFL and 40% GOP, the "consensus" involved taking the very bleeding edge off the DFL's policies.
The third influence eroding consensus -- and civility -- is a popular attitude of disdain toward elites. People are better educated and more likely to work in white-collar jobs. They are less willing to defer to such intermediating institutions as the press, unions, the parties, government (including the public schools) and the influential "opinion leaders" of old.
And that really cheeses the metro DFL off!
They want to have their own say and to be much more in control of their own lives. They want more choices in where they live and how they live, including how they educate their children and how they save for their retirement. Far from being consensus-oriented, they are fiercely individualistic. Unlike the old elites, they also tend to be far less polite in pushing their personal agendas; thus the loss of civility in public discourse that so many -- usually from the old elites -- lament.
Read: All you uppity conservatives and your Talk Radio are upsetting the applecart.
Realism requires the recognition that individual choice is especially powerful right now. If any consensus is possible, it should be built around marshaling the power of choice in service to community. It's true in education, and it is probably true in health care, for example.
Boyd is both right, and a tad myopic. There's nothing inimical about "choice" and "community". Just in the way communitarianism is expressed by those with choice.

Boyd's piece is far the superior of the two - it eschews Studevant's sentimentalization of a lost majority's groupthink, and at least realistically assesses the changes of the past ten years.

So at least someone at the Strib gets it!

posted by Mitch Berg 1/6/2003 07:17:50 AM

Sunday, January 05, 2003

Dedication - A man shot at a Wendy's on University Avenue on Friday Night was back on Saturday.
A victim in the Saturday night shooting at a St. Paul Wendy's restaurant returned to the scene of the crime Sunday, this time for a bite to eat.

Turns out he's a regular at the fast-food stop on University Avenue and Dale Street, and his injuries from the night before didn't prevent him from stopping for a meal about 3 p.m. Sunday, according to an employee who witnessed the shooting.

Jaffer Seid said two of the shooting victims are frequent customers, though he doesn't know their names. Police on Sunday were not releasing the names of the three victims, all of whom were treated at Regions Hospital and released.
Somewhere, somehow, I'm sure Dave Thomas is smiling.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/5/2003 11:10:17 PM

Tectonic Shift - Huge news in the Strib - three out of four citizens in or formerly liberal state favor cutting spending to raising taxes, according to the latest Minnesota Poll.
"These results certify what we saw in the election," said House Majority Leader Erik Paulsen, R-Eden Prairie. "Minnesotans are expecting first and foremost that the new administration conduct a top-to-bottom review of state government spending."

Said Dan McElroy, who officially becomes the state's finance commissioner and budget czar Monday: "It's reassuring to see that 76 percent of the respondents know that cutting spending has to be part of the solution."
The guys at Powerline are, as usual, right on point:
Pawlenty's victory illustrates the principle that the messenger is as important as the message. Pawlenty is a tremendously talented politician, who at age 41 may have a future on the national stage. He is such a palpably nice guy that even the staunchly Democratic Star Tribune, in an editorial this morning, calls him a "leader of obvious intelligence and decency" whose ten years in the legislature "have shown him to be a person of substance and genuine commitment to public service." (Of course, they're trying to soften him up for their plea to raise taxes.)
As someone who's lived in Minnesota for a little over 17 years, it amazes me - the "conventional wisdom" of this state ("suck it up and pay") is falling by the wayside, finally.

(Via Powerline and Fraters Libertas, who as usual are right on the money...)

posted by Mitch Berg 1/5/2003 10:03:20 PM

Action - According to the Boston Globe, US intelligence agents, and Special forces from the US, UK, Jordan and Australia, are already active in Iraq.
The operations, which also have included small numbers of Jordanian, British, and Australian commandos, are considered by many analysts to be part of the opening phase of a war against Iraq, even though the Bush administration has agreed to a schedule of UN weapons inspections.
Reactions to the news are, of course, mixed:
Naseer H. Aruri, professor emeritus of political science at the University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth, said the Bush administration was being duplicitous in conducting undercover operations while agreeing to the UN weapons inspections.

''Certainly, the Arab world and the Islamic world would see it as being inconsistent with the weapons inspections, as well as an infringement on Iraq's sovereignty,'' Aruri said. ''It makes clear that the public acceptance of the UN mission and inspection process was more of a tactic than anything else.''

James M. Lindsay, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution who was a member of the National Security Council during the Clinton administration, said that few countries outside the Middle East would object.
A while ago, I ran the same story, from Debka. And I took a lot of heat from local liberal observers of the scene for doing it.

Hey, I can't be wrong all the time, right?

posted by Mitch Berg 1/5/2003 06:30:04 PM

A New Nixon? - I'd wondered if Gore's move - abandoning the '04 election - mightn't be a Nixonian move.

Ronald Bailey wonders the same thing, in Reason Magazine.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/5/2003 05:05:40 PM

Kimchi For The Soul - James Robbins on the current North Korea crisis in National Review Online.

It's been comical, watching the left smell blood regarding the President's approach to terrorism, again and again and again, since September 11. Remember all the approaches? We've been through:
  1. "Homeland Defense means defending the homeland - not going overseas!
  2. "Afghanistan will be a quagmire!"
  3. "Er, we only captured the major cities!"
  4. "But we don't have Bin Laden Yet!"
  5. "But what about Iran?"
  6. "Er...what about North Korea?"
This, like the others, doesn't stand up. Robbins:
Meanwhile the crisis has given the president's critics something new to carp on. Last month's "Bin Laden before Iraq" line has now given way to "Korea First." When you put Iraq and North Korea side by the side, the case can be superficially compelling. After all, U.N. inspectors are searching in vain for Iraqi WMDs, and the DPRK practically admits having them. Iraq has no functioning breeder reactors, North Korea is firing theirs up. Iraq has admitted and cooperated with international inspectors, the DPRK gave them the boot. Saddam has a repressive Arab Socialist regime, Kim runs a nightmarish Stalinist totalitarian system. Iraq has a relatively weak army in poor morale; North Korea has 10 million fanatics under arms, the largest standing land army in the world. Iraq is restricted by no-fly zones, Korea is not. Saddam has gassed thousands of Iraqis at various points in his rule; Kim is starving millions every year to have the resources he needs to support his war machine. (Note: If millions are dying, where are the bodies? Can we get satellite images of mass graves? Are they being burned in crematoria? There's an image.) North Korea is bad news, no question about it. All other things being equal, it should be getting more attention. But all things are not equal. The Middle East is much more important to U.S. national interests than the Korean peninsula, primarily because it is the source of much of the world's energy supplies. It is also a region that has lately shown a propensity to export its extremism to undermine U.S. allies and attack the homeland. North Korean exports, more tangible things like missile technology, can be more easily interdicted. Furthermore, the Iraq issue has been developing for a year (or a dozen). The Allies cannot turn on a dime and deal with North Korea exclusively, then expect to be able to go back to pick up where they left off with Saddam.

A critical inequality is the military equation. North Korea would be a much tougher adversary than Iraq even if it only had conventional forces. The probable presence of nuclear weapons make the situation even more difficult. Unfortunately, deterrence works in this situation as in any other match-up between nuclear states. Concerted action on the part of the United States without the certainty that North Korean nuclear weapons could be destroyed or neutralized severely alters the risk calculus. Thus the critics who say we should go after North Korea because it is strong have it completely backwards — we should deal with Saddam first because for the moment he is weak. We have been preparing for that conflict. Get it done while we can.
When you live in the world of theory - as so many of the left's wonks and punditry do - it all seems so easy.


posted by Mitch Berg 1/5/2003 02:56:11 PM

I See Your Friggin' Escalade... - and I raise you this!
While it is only a design concept for now, the car will become a reality if Lutz gets his way. Outfitted with silk carpets, a crystal Bulgari clock, smoked-glass roof and a chilled-champagne compartment, the Sixteen is a homage to the elegant Caddys of the 1930s that served as chariots for presidents, Hollywood stars and gangsters. But that mammoth engine beneath its gull-winged hood—the first V-16 Detroit has churned out in 62 years makes it something new: a luxury muscle car, meant to be driven, not driven in. (Although you can retire to the Tuscany-leather rear seat, which reclines into a bed.)
OK. When can we kick off the next dotcom boom? I wanna be in on this one, this time...

posted by Mitch Berg 1/5/2003 11:59:11 AM

The Horses They Rode in On - The Independence Party's Dean Barkley's term in the Senate is over. Jesse Ventura leaves office tomorrow.

So long guys. Don't let the doors smack you on the way out.

Ventura went out with his one of his patented, pointlessly-combative, petulant press conferences.
Ventura went out much as he came in nearly four years ago -- outspoken and combative.

He pointed out that his 72nd and final judicial appointee, Terrence Walters of Rochester, had been an unsuccessful finalist for the bench several times before, and he likened him to a Navy sailor who vomited while doggedly trying to qualify for frogman duty.

Ventura even tossed a parting shot at his predecessor, saying that former Gov. Arne Carlson had denied him and his aides access to the governor's office until noon on Inauguration Day of 1999. On Monday, Ventura said, things will be different.

The Pawlenty team will have the run of the place beginning at 8 a.m., several hours before the governor-elect is sworn in.

While refusing to disclose what he will be doing as a private citizen -- a national cable TV talk show has been rumored -- Ventura dropped one small hint. At an invitation-only $100-a-person going-away party at the Marriott City Center Hotel in Minneapolis tonight, he said, "my new boss will be there."

Asked at a State Capitol news conference what his new job will be, he said: "None of your business."

He also said he expects to have no future role in public affairs except as a voter. "I'd rather critique the media," he added, "because no one does that, and I think someone should. As of Monday, you will fear me."
Friends in the media - including some of his former radio industry colleagues - say Ventura has the most irredeemably bloated ego in the history of Minnesota Politics.

If you're not from Minnesota, you might still be buying into the myths he and his handlers were passing off four years ago. He ran as a libertarian, populist conservative - all about personal responsibility, lowering fees, concealed carry reform, cutting taxes. In dealing with a (at that time) perennial surplus, he asked Minnesotans in a famous radio ad "How does $1000 for every man, woman and child in your household sound?".

As soon as he got into office, though, he surrounded himself with DFLers - Tim Penny, Dean Barkley, Ted Mondale; his cabinet included only one Republican, Charlie Weaver. He raced for the left - he caved in to Roger Moe on his first three budgets. His administration raced for the left - spending surpluses, de-emphasizing roads for light rail, caving in to the left on issue after issue.

For all of his populist/libertarian rhetoric, his administration was a make-work program for "moderate" DFLers who couldn't get endorsed at a regular DFL convention.

Speaking of which - Dean Barkley, whom Ventura appointed to finish Paul Wellstone's term, also left office last week.
Barkley, who was sworn in on Nov. 12, served only seven weeks, but his tenure was long enough to whet his appetite.

"It's not a bad gig, if you can get it," he said.

In an interview, Barkley said he "definitely would consider running for higher office again, if the right opportunity came."

Having worked as a top official in Gov. Jesse Ventura's administration, his aspirations are not necessarily limited to the Senate.

"I learned a lot about what it's like to be governor, and that's a nice job also," he said.

Barkley's Senate service gained him a mention in the record books. He is one of at least 30 senators in the nation's history who served less than two months, according to a list compiled by Betty Koed, assistant historian with the Senate Historical Office.
Barkley, like Independence party gubernatorial candidate Tim Penny, was a career DFLer - perhaps more "moderate" than the DFL leadership, but only slightly less liberal in practice.

Adios, Dean. Good Riddance, Jesse.

posted by Mitch Berg 1/5/2003 11:44:17 AM

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